Commentary
2019-09-27
恆指偏軟吼56364熊 內銀利好看招行23909購

國家統計局今晨公布內地首八個月全國規模以上工業企業實現利潤總額4.02萬億元人民幣,按年同比下降2%,主要受工業生產銷售增速放緩及超強颱風等影響。貿易戰方面,雖中國稱願意購買更多美國農產品,美方表示將不會延長華為禁制令的赦免期,也不排除對其他使用5G國家進行懲罰,此舉進一步增加了十月雙方貿易談判的不確定性 。恆指低開63點後反覆走低,於26000點有阻力,今早資金主要流入恆指淡倉。續看淡可留意恆指熊證56364,收回價26422點,槓桿36.45倍,換股比率10000:1。如看好留意恆指牛證54731,收回價25488點,槓桿63.11倍,換股比率10000:1。

上日(26日)內銀股受追捧,其中招商銀行(03968)強勢反彈,一度升逾4%破十廿天線,最終收市彈逾3.7%,報37.15元。主要原因是昨日中午內地財政部下發《金融企業財務規則(征求意見稿)》,將銀行撥備覆蓋率標準定為150%,若超過監管要求2倍以上(300%),可通過發息的方式對超額計提部分進行利潤分配。招商銀行現撥備覆蓋率為394%,表明其在未來可能需配發更多股息。看好留意招行購證23903,行使價40.45元,實際槓桿10.08倍,19年12月到期。或留意招行牛證55928,收回價34.10元,實際槓桿8.64倍,20年4月到期。看淡留意招行熊證64514,收回價47.50元,實際槓桿3.17倍,19年11月到期。

匯豐(00005)昨日在倫敦回購245.55萬股,涉資約1424磅。至此,匯控已完成其約10億美元回購計劃。匯控昨日繼續高位整固收報59.80元,可望挑戰參考百天線約62元附近阻力。看好留意匯控牛證56017,收回價57.60元,實際槓桿13.93倍,到期日20年3月。或看淡留意匯控熊證50486,收回價70.5元,實際槓桿4.64倍,到期日19年11月。

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